Description. – The central square in the ClimateBall bingo.


[JUNIOR] Why You Can’t Trust The Insurance Industry’s Secret Science On Climate Catastrophes

[NATHAN] The intense debate about the exact percentage of climate scientists who believe in catastrophic climate change is predicated on Dadaist science.

[TOBY] Climate doomsayers keep putting sell-by dates on their credibility

[BEN] Abrupt ecosystem collapse, 1.5°C climate catastrophe by 2025-2030, and mass extinction.

Objections and Replies

§1. But all CAGW is […] –
Stop right here. “CAGW” isn’t the scientific position, but a contrarian strawman.

§2. It’s not a strawman, for here is […] –
The caricature lies in suggesting that the established view is CAGW. It’s not.

§3. I keep hearing the C word. –
Me too. Mostly by contrarians. What word would describe a 4C world by 2100?

§4. To speak of catastrophe is alarmist. –
How do you know? Let’s look at a specific claim and see how it fares.


“CAGW” stands for Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. It does not refer to the established view. Contrarians simply added a “C” to “AGW.”

It may be the only square compatible with all the other ones.

If you want something to do something about AGW and your whole point reduces to “let’s talk more about CAGW” when the main freaking argument contrarians have is “But CAGW,” I suggest that your armchair quarterbacking sucks.

Correlated to #ButAlarmism.