But Extreme Events

Examples

Fewer people die from floods, not more (because of higher wealth and resilience).

(Bjorn)

Objections and Replies

Cold. Cold kill more.
☞ A few degrees won’t eliminate the need to heat yourself.

Every. Every extreme weather event is caused by AGW is highly unscientific—
☞ The claim is rather that a changing climate leads to changes in the frequency, intensity, spatial extent, duration, and timing of extreme weather and climate events, and can result in unprecedented extreme weather and climate events.

Killing. Extreme weather not killing more.
☞ AGW might have many other impacts before killing people.

Resilience.
☞ Modern civilization affords survivors the luxury to complain about extreme events.

Unknowns.
☞ We may not know everything, but we sure don’t know nothing.

Unscientific. Concluding extreme weather events are caused by global warming is unscientific conjecture.
☞ According to the Third National Climate Assessment, some extreme weather and climate events have increased in recent decades, and new and stronger evidence confirms that some of these increases are related to human activities.

Worse. It could be worse.
☞ Sure, Granpa.

Notes

{Name} We should name hurricanes after well-known climate change contrarians.

Resources

2021-02; Mapped: How climate change affects extreme weather around the world

2020? Extreme Weather and Climate Change.

2014; Extreme Weather;

1992-01; Statistics of Extreme Events with Application to Climate; simple and well-written.

Readings

2021-01; Heed blame for extreme weather; https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00185-x

2020-12. Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-70816-2

2020-12; Severe weather event attribution: Why values won’t go away; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2020.09.003

2011-12; A trend analysis of normalized insured damage from natural disasters. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0331-2

Climateball Episodes

2014-03; MIT Climate Scientist Responds on Disaster Costs And Climate Change.